India ki Merchandise Export 2025 ke 4th Quarter me Rs. 10,81,642 Crore tak Pahunchne ki Sambhavana: Exim Bank

 

Bharat ki merchandise export Q4 FY25 me Rs. 10,81,642 crore (US$ 124.8 billion) tak pahunch sakti hai, jo pichle saal ke mukable 3.64% ka vriddhi darshata hai. Export-Import Bank of India ke anusar, non-oil exports bhi 11.34% badhne ki sambhavana hai, jo Rs. 9,47,303 crore (US$ 109.3 billion) ho sakta hai. Isi tarah, non-oil aur non-gems & jewellery exports bhi 10.1% ke vriddhi ke saath Rs. 8,53,700 crore (US$ 98.5 billion) tak pahunch sakte hain. Yeh sakaratmak trends Q1 FY26 tak jaari rehne ki sambhavana hai.

Pichle Saalon ki Tulna aur Aage ki Sambhavanayein

FY23 ke peak Rs. 38,45,721 crore (US$ 443.72 billion) ke mukable, FY24 me exports ghatkar Rs. 37,53,591 crore (US$ 433.09 billion) ho gaya tha. Lekin naye projections ke anusar, manufacturing aur agricultural sector ke behtar performance aur global demand ke sudhar se export me recovery hone ki umeed hai.

Bharat ki Trade Deficit me Sudhar

December 2024 me Bharat ka merchandise trade deficit Rs. 1,90,154 crore (US$ 21.94 billion) tak ghat gaya, jo pichle teen mahine ka lowest level tha. November 2024 me yeh deficit Rs. 2,84,624 crore (US$ 32.84 billion) tha. Union Bank of India ke ek report ke anusar, January 2025 me yeh deficit aur ghatkar Rs. 1,80,967 crore (US$ 20.88 billion) ho sakta hai, jo festive aur wedding season ke baad sone ki import me girawat ke karan ho sakta hai.

Export me Kin Sectors ka Yogdan?

April-December 2024 ke beech cumulative exports 1.6% badhkar Rs. 27,88,261 crore (US$ 321.71 billion) tak pahunch gaya, jisme mukhya roop se electronics, engineering goods, rice, garments aur handloom products ka yogdan raha.

Aage ki Chunautiyan aur Sambhavanayein

Bhavishya me, geopolitical tensions, trade policy uncertainty, aur global economic fragmentation jaise challenges bane rahenge. Lekin manufacturing sector ka behtar performance aur agrarian economy ke resilience se export ko majbooti mil sakti hai. Poore fiscal year ke liye, total merchandise exports Rs. 38,69,816 crore (US$ 446.5 billion) tak pahunchne ka anuman hai, jo FY23 ke mukable 2.2% ka vriddhi darshata hai.

Nishkarsh

Bharat ki export growth steady trajectory par hai aur agar government policies supportive rahi aur global demand me improvement dekha gaya, toh aane wale quarters me aur behtar export figures dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Agrani sectors jaise electronics, engineering, textiles aur agri-products is growth ko aur aage badha sakte hain.

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